Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
30.28%
decreased by 0.59%
1 Week
30.57%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Month
31.57%
increased by 0.70%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 27, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1041 | 16.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0766 | 16.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9092 | 360.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0091 | -1.18 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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