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V-Lab

Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

30.73%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Week

30.93%

decreased by 0.25%

1 Month

31.66%

increased by 0.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 66 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 66 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.1076
4.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0610
32.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9896
449.39***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.2014
7.88***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

66 days