Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
30.73%
decreased by 0.45%
1 Week
30.93%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Month
31.66%
increased by 0.48%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 27, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 66 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 66 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 6.1076 | 4.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0610 | 32.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9896 | 449.39*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 5.2014 | 7.88*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
66 days
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