Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
35.28%
decreased by 1.54%
1 Week
35.43%
decreased by 1.39%
1 Month
35.93%
decreased by 0.89%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 27, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1427 | 22.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0903 | 49.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8851 | 476.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0394 | -0.82 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
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