Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
35.87%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Week
36.12%
decreased by 0.08%
1 Month
37.00%
increased by 0.80%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 27, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0445 | 18.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1632 | 34.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9770 | 734.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0085 | 2.09** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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