Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
46.07%
increased by 4.69%
1 Week
46.84%
increased by 5.46%
1 Month
48.86%
increased by 7.48%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 24% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1750 | 12.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2881 | 25.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9262 | 171.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0310 | 2.81*** |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
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