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V-Lab

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

46.07%

increased by 4.69%

1 Week

46.84%

increased by 5.46%

1 Month

48.86%

increased by 7.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 24% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1750
12.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2881
25.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9262
171.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0310
2.81***

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days