Skip to main content
V-Lab

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

32.98%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

35.41%

increased by 2.16%

1 Month

41.59%

increased by 8.34%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 06:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2014 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5739
3.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1772
2.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7990
26.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0573
-0.69

Persistence:

0.948

Half-life:

13 days