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V-Lab

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

44.03%

increased by 4.21%

1 Week

44.98%

increased by 5.16%

1 Month

47.60%

increased by 7.78%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 48% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5868
13.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1782
11.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7976
104.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0581
-2.78***

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days