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V-Lab

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

33.56%

decreased by 1.35%

1 Week

35.91%

increased by 1.00%

1 Month

41.91%

increased by 7.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 48% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5764
13.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1775
11.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7986
105.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0576
-2.77***

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days