V-Lab
Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
33.26%
decreased by 0.93%
1 Week
35.60%
increased by 1.41%
1 Month
41.63%
increased by 7.44%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2014 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5631 | 3.48*** |
| αARCH | 0.1771 | 2.96*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7997 | 26.61*** |
| γleverage | -0.0566 | -0.68 |
0.948
Persistence13d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5631 | 3.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1771 | 2.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7997 | 26.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0566 | -0.68 |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
Other Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities