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V-Lab

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

44.02%

increased by 0.97%

1 Week

45.33%

increased by 2.28%

1 Month

48.84%

increased by 5.79%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 15% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6595
18.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3207
31.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6459
94.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0411
-2.11**

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

12 days