True Colors Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
54.13%
decreased by 3.57%
1 Week
54.27%
decreased by 3.43%
1 Month
54.53%
decreased by 3.17%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3076 | 5.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2554 | 8.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8758 | 37.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0033 | -0.15 |
Persistence:
0.876
Half-life:
5 days
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