True Colors Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
35.88%
decreased by 1.89%
1 Week
35.99%
decreased by 1.78%
1 Month
36.35%
decreased by 1.42%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1667 | 1.81* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1398 | 5.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8307 | 53.06*** |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
23 days
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