True Colors Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
35.37%
decreased by 1.76%
1 Week
35.51%
decreased by 1.62%
1 Month
35.95%
decreased by 1.18%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1642 | 4.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1291 | 7.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8300 | 53.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0235 | 0.69 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
23 days
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