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V-Lab

True Colors Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

35.37%

decreased by 1.76%

1 Week

35.51%

decreased by 1.62%

1 Month

35.95%

decreased by 1.18%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of True Colors Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1642
4.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1291
7.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8300
53.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0235
0.69

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

23 days