V-Lab
Theta Edge Berhad GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
85.28%
decreased by 1.70%
1 Week
86.05%
decreased by 0.93%
1 Month
88.41%
increased by 1.43%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:29 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 24, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4084 | 17.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1148 | 15.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8321 | 149.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0274 | 1.90* |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
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