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V-Lab

Theta Edge Berhad GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

85.28%

decreased by 1.70%

1 Week

86.05%

decreased by 0.93%

1 Month

88.41%

increased by 1.43%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Theta Edge Berhad GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 24, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4084
17.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1148
15.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8321
149.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0274
1.90*

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days