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V-Lab

Theta Edge Berhad GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

360.19%

increased by 24.57%

1 Week

359.28%

increased by 23.66%

1 Month

356.41%

increased by 20.79%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:31 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Theta Edge Berhad GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 24, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.03 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

479.6388
5.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0989
46.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9615
129.54***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0344
677.01***

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

18 days