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Han Kook Capital Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

29.12%

increased by 7.23%

1 Week

30.67%

increased by 8.78%

1 Month

36.06%

increased by 14.17%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 12:33 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Han Kook Capital Co Ltd MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 29, 2001 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 149 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~149 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2003
2.54**
αARCH0.3338
9.61***
βGARCH0.6616
26.74***

0.995

Persistence

149d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2003
2.54**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3338
9.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6616
26.74***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

149 days