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Bella Casa Fashion & Retail GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

1,655.52%

decreased by 109.97%

1 Week

1,653.86%

decreased by 111.63%

1 Month

1,647.29%

decreased by 118.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bella Casa Fashion & Retail GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 15, 2015 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst21.8171
5.94***
αARCH0.0784
39.92***
βGARCH0.9990
5,257.89***
νDF2.0004

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

21.8171
5.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0784
39.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
5,257.89***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0004

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days