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Bella Casa Fashion & Retail GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

7,345.49%

decreased by 832.85%

1 Week

7,338.15%

decreased by 840.19%

1 Month

7,308.93%

decreased by 869.41%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Bella Casa Fashion & Retail GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 15, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

192.7093
23.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0785
159.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days