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Bella Casa Fashion & Retail GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

45.45%

increased by 1.09%

1 Week

46.47%

increased by 2.11%

1 Month

48.37%

increased by 4.01%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bella Casa Fashion & Retail GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 15, 2015 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2403
3.34***
αARCH0.1574
3.23***
βGARCH0.7315
12.63***
γleverage-0.0288
-0.32

0.875

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2403
3.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1574
3.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7315
12.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0288
-0.32

Persistence:

0.875

Half-life:

5 days