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V-Lab

Bella Casa Fashion & Retail GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

38.60%

decreased by 1.39%

1 Week

41.36%

increased by 1.37%

1 Month

46.20%

increased by 6.21%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bella Casa Fashion & Retail GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 15, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2330
13.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1603
12.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7310
50.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0315
-1.39

Persistence:

0.876

Half-life:

5 days