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V-Lab

Bella Casa Fashion & Retail GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

42.79%

decreased by 2.79%

1 Week

44.54%

decreased by 1.04%

1 Month

47.71%

increased by 2.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bella Casa Fashion & Retail GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 15, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2464
13.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1609
13.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7290
50.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0284
-1.24

Persistence:

0.876

Half-life:

5 days