V-Lab
Canare Electric Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
21.20%
decreased by 1.93%
1 Week
22.19%
decreased by 0.94%
1 Month
23.85%
increased by 0.72%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 50% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2301 | 26.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5647 | 48.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1142 | 7.81*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0012 | 2.68*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0058 | 6.95*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9936 | 981.86*** |
Persistence:
0.852
Half-life:
4 days
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