V-Lab
Canare Electric Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
16.36%
decreased by 1.60%
1 Week
18.26%
increased by 0.30%
1 Month
21.35%
increased by 3.39%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 1995 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.0488 | 4.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2643 | 8.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6057 | 14.62*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 0.0422 | 0.88 |
| γ2 | -0.1208 | -1.80* |
| γ3 | 0.1468 | 3.36*** |
| γ4 | -0.1089 | -2.25** |
| γ5 | 0.0670 | 1.42 |
| γ6 | -0.0193 | -0.40 |
| γ7 | 0.0055 | 0.12 |
| γ8 | -0.0271 | -0.76 |
Persistence:
0.870
Half-life:
5 days
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