V-Lab
Canare Electric Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
20.31%
decreased by 1.76%
1 Week
21.15%
decreased by 0.92%
1 Month
22.62%
increased by 0.55%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.0486 | 4.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2624 | 8.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6062 | 14.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 0.0415 | 0.88 |
| γ2 | -0.1194 | -1.79* |
| γ3 | 0.1460 | 3.34*** |
| γ4 | -0.1094 | -2.25** |
| γ5 | 0.0686 | 1.46 |
| γ6 | -0.0210 | -0.45 |
| γ7 | 0.0056 | 0.12 |
| γ8 | -0.0262 | -0.75 |
Persistence:
0.869
Half-life:
5 days
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