V-Lab
Dor Alon Energy In Israel MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
20.39%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Week
21.13%
increased by 0.61%
1 Month
21.67%
increased by 1.15%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 5, 2005 to Aug 21, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1089 | 2.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0842 | 2.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0185 | 1.41 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1241 | 0.30 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0792 | 0.46 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8822 | 3.10*** |
Persistence:
0.202
Half-life:
0 days
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