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Banco do Brasil SA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

59.55%

increased by 4.26%

1 Week

57.85%

increased by 2.56%

1 Month

52.19%

decreased by 3.10%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 09:01 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Banco do Brasil SA S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 17, 1992 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9802
3.34***
αARCH0.0715
5.73***
βGARCH0.8896
43.12***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.2787
-4.44***
γ20.4179
3.20***
γ3-0.2035
-1.77*
γ40.1081
1.57
γ5-0.1031
-2.09**
γ60.1522
3.27***
γ7-0.1502
-3.22***
γ80.0414
0.74
γ90.0392
0.50
γ10-0.0209
-0.30

0.961

Persistence

18d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9802
3.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0715
5.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8896
43.12***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.2787
-4.44***
γ20.4179
3.20***
γ3-0.2035
-1.77*
γ40.1081
1.57
γ5-0.1031
-2.09**
γ60.1522
3.27***
γ7-0.1502
-3.22***
γ80.0414
0.74
γ90.0392
0.50
γ10-0.0209
-0.30

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

18 days