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V-Lab

CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

26.96%

decreased by 0.86%

1 Week

29.51%

increased by 1.69%

1 Month

35.79%

increased by 7.97%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 2015 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 201% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4549
11.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2329
10.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7915
68.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1556
-5.95***

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days