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V-Lab

CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

28.37%

increased by 2.16%

1 Week

30.60%

increased by 4.39%

1 Month

36.28%

increased by 10.07%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 2015 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 199% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4374
11.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2311
10.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7947
70.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1537
-6.00***

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days