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V-Lab

CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

24.62%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Week

27.38%

increased by 2.36%

1 Month

34.23%

increased by 9.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 2015 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4151
2.78***
αARCH0.2285
2.61***
βGARCH0.7993
18.47***
γleverage-0.1522
-1.52

0.952

Persistence

14d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4151
2.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2285
2.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7993
18.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1522
-1.52

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days