CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
26.96%
decreased by 0.86%
1 Week
29.51%
increased by 1.69%
1 Month
35.79%
increased by 7.97%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 2, 2015 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 201% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4549 | 11.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2329 | 10.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7915 | 68.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1556 | -5.95*** |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
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