Skip to main content
V-Lab

CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

25.71%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

28.34%

increased by 2.08%

1 Month

34.87%

increased by 8.61%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 200% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4274
11.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2291
10.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7971
72.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1527
-6.05***

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

13 days