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CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

30.62%

increased by 2.65%

1 Week

32.34%

increased by 4.37%

1 Month

37.04%

increased by 9.07%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 2015 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3944
2.77***
αARCH0.2262
2.64***
βGARCH0.8035
19.24***
γleverage-0.1499
-1.53

0.955

Persistence

15d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3944
2.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2262
2.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8035
19.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1499
-1.53

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days