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V-Lab

SRT Marine Systems PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

40.16%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Week

43.12%

increased by 1.85%

1 Month

47.47%

increased by 6.20%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SRT Marine Systems PLC MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 180% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0706
8.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6924
31.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1270
7.28***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2013
1.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0145
1.26
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9703
40.43***

Persistence:

0.827

Half-life:

4 days