FTSE 100 Implied Volatility Index 30 Days

CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index

EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	41
αARCH	0.0708	2.71***
βGARCH	0.6928	8.91***
γleverage	0.1260	2.11**
λ₁tau intercept	0.1961	1.09
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0148	1.32
λ₃tau persistence	0.9703	41.78***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	41
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0708	2.71***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.6928	8.91***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1260	2.11**
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.1961	1.09
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0148	1.32
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9703	41.78***

V-Lab

SRT Marine Systems PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other SRT Marine Systems PLC Analyses