SRT Marine Systems PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
39.72%
decreased by 0.59%
1 Week
43.35%
increased by 3.04%
1 Month
48.44%
increased by 8.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 180% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0708 | 8.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6920 | 31.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1276 | 7.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2057 | 1.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0142 | 1.24 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9703 | 39.87*** |
Persistence:
0.827
Half-life:
4 days
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