V-Lab
SRT Marine Systems PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
40.83%
decreased by 1.26%
1 Week
43.85%
increased by 1.76%
1 Month
48.23%
increased by 6.14%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 180% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0707 | 8.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6924 | 31.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1271 | 7.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2040 | 1.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0143 | 1.25 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9703 | 40.07*** |
Persistence:
0.827
Half-life:
4 days
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