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V-Lab

Yw Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

35.21%

increased by 2.05%

1 Week

35.65%

increased by 2.49%

1 Month

37.35%

increased by 4.19%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yw Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2003 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.36 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

66.9384
8.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1003
107.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
8,256.20***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.3646
121.66***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days