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V-Lab
V-Lab

Yw Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

26.24%

increased by 0.14%

1 Week

26.84%

increased by 0.74%

1 Month

29.08%

increased by 2.98%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yw Co Ltd GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0623
3.37***
αARCH0.0964
8.26***
βGARCH0.9036
86.24***

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0623
3.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0964
8.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9036
86.24***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-