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V-Lab

Sivers Semiconductors Ab MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

158.07%

decreased by 3.65%

1 Week

153.66%

decreased by 8.06%

1 Month

143.35%

decreased by 18.37%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Sivers Semiconductors Ab MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 17, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 53% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1044
11.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8469
57.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0361
-2.40**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2153
1.54
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0348
2.19**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9584
42.00***

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days