Sivers Semiconductors Ab Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
153.69%
decreased by 2.75%
1 Week
148.63%
decreased by 7.81%
1 Month
135.40%
decreased by 21.04%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 17, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4554 | 3.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0810 | 3.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8403 | 21.86*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -0.3996 | -1.17 |
| γ2 | 0.3038 | 0.63 |
| γ3 | 0.4567 | 1.97** |
| γ4 | -0.6523 | -4.01*** |
| γ5 | 0.4822 | 3.06*** |
| γ6 | -0.3005 | -2.26** |
Persistence:
0.921
Half-life:
8 days
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