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V-Lab

Sivers Semiconductors Ab Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

274.77%

decreased by 2.00%

1 Week

283.59%

increased by 6.82%

1 Month

300.60%

increased by 23.83%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sivers Semiconductors Ab SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 17, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5009
4.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0725
3.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8130
15.16***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0660
0.12
γ2-0.6134
-0.60
γ30.5913
0.57
γ40.0857
0.10
γ50.2447
0.42
γ6-0.4795
-0.74
γ7-0.5198
-0.61
γ81.5755
1.78*
γ9-1.9847
-1.95*
γ103.3654
3.39***

Persistence:

0.886

Half-life:

6 days