V-Lab
Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronic Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
78.74%
increased by 3.70%
1 Week
82.85%
increased by 7.81%
1 Month
83.72%
increased by 8.68%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 10.00) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 15.0000 | 7.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1012 | 7.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0014 | 7.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 10.0000 | 10.26*** |
Persistence:
0.103
Half-life:
0 days
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