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V-Lab

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronic Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

78.74%

increased by 3.70%

1 Week

82.85%

increased by 7.81%

1 Month

83.72%

increased by 8.68%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronic Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 10.00) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.0000
7.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1012
7.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0014
7.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

10.0000
10.26***

Persistence:

0.103

Half-life:

0 days