V-Lab
Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronic Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
98.15%
decreased by 4.42%
1 Week
103.87%
increased by 1.30%
1 Month
117.61%
increased by 15.04%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.61 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2205 | 2.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7128 | 24.89*** |
Persistence:
0.933
Half-life:
10 days
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