V-Lab
Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronic Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
81.11%
increased by 0.54%
1 Week
89.83%
increased by 9.26%
1 Month
96.10%
increased by 15.53%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.06 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4052 | 24.96*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2917 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0624 | 1.05 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9376 | 10.61*** |
Persistence:
0.203
Half-life:
0 days
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