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V-Lab

Inventiva SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

63.09%

decreased by 4.29%

1 Week

64.21%

decreased by 3.17%

1 Month

67.23%

decreased by 0.15%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Inventiva SA GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 157% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1921
9.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2031
6.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8023
58.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1239
-3.74***

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days