V-Lab
Inventiva SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
63.09%
decreased by 4.29%
1 Week
64.21%
decreased by 3.17%
1 Month
67.23%
decreased by 0.15%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 13, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 157% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1921 | 9.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2031 | 6.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8023 | 58.49*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1239 | -3.74*** |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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