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V-Lab

G K P Printing & Packaging Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

41.42%

decreased by 12.79%

1 Week

37.19%

decreased by 17.02%

1 Month

33.34%

decreased by 20.87%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:57 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of G K P Printing & Packaging SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 8, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9685
2.38**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2258
5.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4515
5.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.3463
-0.12
γ21.8845
0.42
γ3-3.8062
-1.10
γ45.3219
2.08**
γ5-6.9123
-3.22***
γ67.2289
2.75***
γ7-5.9445
-1.57
γ85.9186
1.59
γ9-6.3559
-2.54**
γ104.2579
1.39

Persistence:

0.677

Half-life:

2 days