V-Lab
G K P Printing & Packaging Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
49.82%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Week
50.48%
increased by 0.38%
1 Month
52.61%
increased by 2.51%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:57 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 20, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4260 | 8.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1292 | 7.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8587 | 113.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0347 | -1.41 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
23 days
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