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V-Lab

G K P Printing & Packaging APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

43.82%

decreased by 1.38%

1 Week

44.51%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Month

46.50%

increased by 1.30%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:57 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of G K P Printing & Packaging APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 8, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 37% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 2.71 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
3.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0752
8.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8550
102.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0581
-2.39**
δ

power

Transformation power

2.7115
15.10***

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

16 days