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G K P Printing & Packaging GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

385,388.00%

increased by 97,368.69%

1 Week

385,002.80%

increased by 96,983.49%

1 Month

383,468.38%

increased by 95,449.07%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of G K P Printing & Packaging GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 8, 2019 to Oct 1, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst6.9665
0.37
αARCH0.2342
2.05**
βGARCH0.9990
442.04***
νDF2.0000
5,970.15***

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.9665
0.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2342
2.05**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
442.04***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000
5,970.15***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days