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V-Lab

Tate & Lyle Plc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

27.20%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Week

30.67%

increased by 3.38%

1 Month

35.18%

increased by 7.89%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Tate & Lyle Plc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2012
14.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5950
35.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0156
0.71
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0456
1.43
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0142
1.63
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9755
64.34***

Persistence:

0.804

Half-life:

3 days