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V-Lab

Tate & Lyle Plc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

26.29%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Week

29.66%

increased by 3.35%

1 Month

33.85%

increased by 7.54%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tate & Lyle Plc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1962
13.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6074
36.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0148
0.66
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.8515
0.17
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3304
0.17
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.811

Half-life:

3 days