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Landi Renzo SPA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

39.07%

increased by 0.26%

1 Week

42.31%

increased by 3.50%

1 Month

48.39%

increased by 9.58%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 06:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Landi Renzo SPA S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 26, 2007 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6772
6.45***
αARCH0.1436
4.98***
βGARCH0.7479
16.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.3673
-2.26**
γ20.5097
2.15**
γ3-0.2717
-1.66*
γ40.3784
1.84*
γ5-0.5985
-2.85***
γ60.6973
3.51***
γ7-0.6145
-3.21***
γ80.4215
1.87*
γ9-0.2042
-1.07

0.891

Persistence

6d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6772
6.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1436
4.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7479
16.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.3673
-2.26**
γ20.5097
2.15**
γ3-0.2717
-1.66*
γ40.3784
1.84*
γ5-0.5985
-2.85***
γ60.6973
3.51***
γ7-0.6145
-3.21***
γ80.4215
1.87*
γ9-0.2042
-1.07

Persistence:

0.891

Half-life:

6 days