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V-Lab

Daito Chemix Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

39.27%

decreased by 2.95%

1 Week

39.81%

decreased by 2.41%

1 Month

40.49%

decreased by 1.73%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daito Chemix Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 1996 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8075
5.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1533
7.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6371
12.94***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.1339
-1.66*
γ20.0033
0.03
γ30.4210
5.41***
γ4-0.5457
-6.56***
γ50.4511
4.64***
γ6-0.2925
-2.76***
γ70.1400
1.31
γ8-0.1384
-1.21
γ90.1548
1.53
γ10-0.0596
-0.85

Persistence:

0.790

Half-life:

3 days