V-Lab
Daito Chemix Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
55.12%
decreased by 0.73%
1 Week
55.04%
decreased by 0.81%
1 Month
54.70%
decreased by 1.15%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 1996 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 105 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 59% more than negative returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0602 | 10.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0346 | 13.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9652 | 540.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0129 | -3.78*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
105 days
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