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Daito Chemix Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

48.59%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Week

48.58%

decreased by 0.73%

1 Month

48.54%

decreased by 0.77%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daito Chemix Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 1996 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 99 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~99 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0632
2.72***
αARCH0.0353
3.46***
βGARCH0.9643
133.92***
γleverage-0.0131
-0.94

0.993

Persistence

99d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0632
2.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0353
3.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9643
133.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0131
-0.94

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

99 days