Daito Chemix Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
48.59%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
48.58%
decreased by 0.73%
1 Month
48.54%
decreased by 0.77%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 1996 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 99 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~99 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0632 | 2.72*** |
| αARCH | 0.0353 | 3.46*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9643 | 133.92*** |
| γleverage | -0.0131 | -0.94 |
0.993
Persistence99d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0632 | 2.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0353 | 3.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9643 | 133.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0131 | -0.94 |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
99 days
Other Daito Chemix Corp Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities