V-Lab
Daito Chemix Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
50.16%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Week
50.13%
decreased by 0.71%
1 Month
50.01%
decreased by 0.83%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 101 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 58% more than negative returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0621 | 10.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0350 | 13.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9646 | 533.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0129 | -3.75*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
101 days
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