V-Lab
Daito Chemix Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
45.72%
increased by 0.21%
1 Week
45.75%
increased by 0.24%
1 Month
45.85%
increased by 0.34%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 96 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~96 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0645 | 2.73*** |
| αARCH | 0.0355 | 3.44*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9638 | 132.10*** |
| γleverage | -0.0129 | -0.93 |
0.993
Persistence96d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0645 | 2.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0355 | 3.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9638 | 132.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0129 | -0.93 |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
96 days
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