V-Lab
Planetel Spa GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
29.64%
decreased by 2.39%
1 Week
30.80%
decreased by 1.23%
1 Month
32.60%
increased by 0.57%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2021 to Oct 5, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.7161 | 3.14*** |
| αARCH | 0.1697 | 2.65*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6683 | 9.46*** |
| γleverage | 0.0071 | 0.06 |
0.842
Persistence4d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7161 | 3.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1697 | 2.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6683 | 9.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0071 | 0.06 |
Persistence:
0.842
Half-life:
4 days
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