V-Lab
Planetel Spa GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
39.71%
decreased by 4.21%
1 Week
38.24%
decreased by 5.68%
1 Month
35.71%
decreased by 8.21%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7077 | 12.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1667 | 10.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6713 | 38.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0131 | 0.46 |
Persistence:
0.845
Half-life:
4 days
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