Planetel Spa GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
42.71%
decreased by 3.59%
1 Week
40.46%
decreased by 5.84%
1 Month
36.58%
decreased by 9.72%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2021 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.7245 | 3.16*** |
| αARCH | 0.1721 | 2.65*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6661 | 9.40*** |
| γleverage | 0.0033 | 0.03 |
0.840
Persistence4d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7245 | 3.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1721 | 2.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6661 | 9.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0033 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.840
Half-life:
4 days
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