Planetel Spa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
37.21%
increased by 3.05%
1 Week
37.10%
increased by 2.94%
1 Month
37.17%
increased by 3.01%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2021 to Jun 26, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 30% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1354 | 14.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6328 | 36.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0408 | 2.89*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.5687 | 2.42** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6480 | 8.50*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.789
Half-life:
3 days
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