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V-Lab

Planetel Spa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

41.08%

decreased by 3.82%

1 Week

40.65%

decreased by 4.25%

1 Month

38.78%

decreased by 6.12%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Planetel Spa MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 15, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 25% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1358
14.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6343
37.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0337
2.44**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.4619
2.53**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6834
9.57***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.787

Half-life:

3 days