Skip to main content
V-Lab

Planetel Spa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

37.21%

increased by 3.05%

1 Week

37.10%

increased by 2.94%

1 Month

37.17%

increased by 3.01%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Planetel Spa MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 15, 2021 to Jun 26, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 30% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1354
14.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6328
36.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0408
2.89***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.5687
2.42**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6480
8.50***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.789

Half-life:

3 days