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V-Lab

Planetel Spa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

33.96%

decreased by 2.31%

1 Week

35.60%

decreased by 0.67%

1 Month

37.82%

increased by 1.55%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Planetel Spa MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 15, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 25% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1352
14.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6459
39.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0342
2.50**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.4747
2.64***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6828
9.62***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.798

Half-life:

3 days