V-Lab
Planetel Spa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
33.96%
decreased by 2.31%
1 Week
35.60%
decreased by 0.67%
1 Month
37.82%
increased by 1.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 25% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1352 | 14.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6459 | 39.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0342 | 2.50** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.4747 | 2.64*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6828 | 9.62*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.798
Half-life:
3 days
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