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V-Lab

UOB-Kay Hian Holdings Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

32.15%

decreased by 4.63%

1 Week

30.73%

decreased by 6.05%

1 Month

28.52%

decreased by 8.26%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of UOB-Kay Hian Holdings Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 14, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5543
5.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1884
8.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6319
16.41***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.0376
-0.63
γ20.1269
1.42
γ3-0.2440
-4.21***
γ40.3058
5.54***
γ5-0.2158
-4.08***
γ6-0.0015
-0.03
γ70.1920
3.88***
γ8-0.1751
-3.35***
γ90.0837
1.35
γ10-0.0661
-1.25

Persistence:

0.820

Half-life:

3 days