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V-Lab

G-Shank Enterprise Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

38.14%

decreased by 0.93%

1 Week

38.42%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Month

38.99%

decreased by 0.08%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of G-Shank Enterprise Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 7, 2001 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9735
8.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1355
7.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7491
22.29***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.0978
1.95*
γ2-0.1017
-1.36
γ3-0.0672
-1.30
γ40.1891
3.18***
γ5-0.2824
-3.58***
γ60.3948
4.06***
γ7-0.3521
-3.86***
γ80.1258
2.14**

Persistence:

0.885

Half-life:

6 days