V-Lab
G-Shank Enterprise Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
46.06%
increased by 2.36%
1 Week
48.71%
increased by 5.01%
1 Month
50.37%
increased by 6.67%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 7, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 34% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1213 | 19.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5959 | 30.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0417 | 4.45*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0109 | 1.24 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0253 | 2.23** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9728 | 80.17*** |
Persistence:
0.738
Half-life:
2 days
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