G-Shank Enterprise Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
44.39%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
45.87%
increased by 0.76%
1 Month
46.94%
increased by 1.83%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 7, 2001 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 34% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1212 | 19.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5956 | 30.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0417 | 4.41*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0108 | 1.24 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0251 | 2.22** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9729 | 80.40*** |
Persistence:
0.738
Half-life:
2 days
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