V-Lab
Denka Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
47.94%
decreased by 2.69%
1 Week
48.60%
decreased by 2.03%
1 Month
49.47%
decreased by 1.16%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:55 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 278% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0659 | 12.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6026 | 55.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1832 | 21.42*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0205 | 2.45** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0209 | 3.25*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9752 | 143.42*** |
Persistence:
0.760
Half-life:
3 days
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