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V-Lab

Denka Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

47.94%

decreased by 2.69%

1 Week

48.60%

decreased by 2.03%

1 Month

49.47%

decreased by 1.16%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:55 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Denka Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 278% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0659
12.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6026
55.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1832
21.42***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0205
2.45**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0209
3.25***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9752
143.42***

Persistence:

0.760

Half-life:

3 days