V-Lab
Denka Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
52.58%
decreased by 1.92%
1 Week
52.02%
decreased by 2.48%
1 Month
50.04%
decreased by 4.46%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:54 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 287% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1441 | 15.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0363 | 12.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8877 | 313.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1039 | 14.93*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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