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V-Lab

Denka Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

47.33%

decreased by 1.48%

1 Week

47.19%

decreased by 1.62%

1 Month

46.66%

decreased by 2.15%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:55 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Denka Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 76 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.64 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.9946
5.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0688
41.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9909
533.31***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6431
10.21***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

76 days