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V-Lab

Kei Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

39.88%

decreased by 2.97%

1 Week

41.36%

decreased by 1.49%

1 Month

42.85%

decreased by 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kei Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1382
20.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5902
33.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0364
2.78***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8432
0.95
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1712
1.48
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7371
3.52***

Persistence:

0.747

Half-life:

2 days