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V-Lab

Kei Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

37.11%

decreased by 2.05%

1 Week

39.34%

increased by 0.18%

1 Month

42.23%

increased by 3.07%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kei Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 27% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1375
20.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5930
34.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0375
2.87***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8338
0.97
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1706
1.52
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7387
3.63***

Persistence:

0.749

Half-life:

2 days