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V-Lab

Kei Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

65.07%

increased by 26.94%

1 Week

58.26%

increased by 20.13%

1 Month

49.10%

increased by 10.97%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kei Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 27% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1376
20.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5959
34.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0368
2.83***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8148
0.99
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1702
1.57
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7409
3.78***

Persistence:

0.752

Half-life:

2 days