Kei Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
37.11%
decreased by 2.05%
1 Week
39.34%
increased by 0.18%
1 Month
42.23%
increased by 3.07%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 5, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 27% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1375 | 20.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5930 | 34.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0375 | 2.87*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8338 | 0.97 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1706 | 1.52 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7387 | 3.63*** |
Persistence:
0.749
Half-life:
2 days
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