Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Kei Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

41.00%

decreased by 2.15%

1 Week

42.78%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Month

45.49%

increased by 2.34%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kei Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2006 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.1404
4.67***
βGARCH0.5701
7.68***
γleverage0.0404
0.95
λ₁tau intercept0.1135
1.60
λ₂forecast adj.0.0220
2.67***
λ₃tau persistence0.9658
66.02***

0.731

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1404
4.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5701
7.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0404
0.95
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1135
1.60
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0220
2.67***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9658
66.02***

Persistence:

0.731

Half-life:

2 days