V-Lab
Kei Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
65.07%
increased by 26.94%
1 Week
58.26%
increased by 20.13%
1 Month
49.10%
increased by 10.97%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 5, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 27% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1376 | 20.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5959 | 34.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0368 | 2.83*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8148 | 0.99 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1702 | 1.57 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7409 | 3.78*** |
Persistence:
0.752
Half-life:
2 days
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