Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment Co., Ltd. GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
39.34%
decreased by 1.17%
1 Week
43.36%
increased by 2.85%
1 Month
51.37%
increased by 10.86%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 02:12 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 19, 2017 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2894 | 4.16*** |
| αARCH | 0.1938 | 3.65*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7280 | 15.76*** |
| γleverage | -0.0278 | -0.30 |
0.908
Persistence7d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2894 | 4.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1938 | 3.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7280 | 15.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0278 | -0.30 |
Persistence:
0.908
Half-life:
7 days
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