V-Lab
Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment Co., Ltd. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
58.68%
1 Week
62.12%
1 Month
62.94%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 19, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 53% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1973 | 14.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6389 | 24.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0684 | -4.76*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.5985 | 0.83 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5426 | 0.88 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.802
Half-life:
3 days
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