Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

FTSE 100 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

12.56%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Week

12.44%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Month

12.09%

decreased by 0.52%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 06:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE 100 Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8344
68.25***
γleverage0.1869
12.82***
λ₁tau intercept0.0052
2.42**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0360
3.37***
λ₃tau persistence0.9584
77.97***

0.928

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8344
68.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1869
12.82***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0052
2.42**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0360
3.37***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9584
77.97***

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days